重点提示： （1）弱冷空气长驱直入控制华北至长江中下游地区； （2）中东部区域污染向西转移，污染总体局势喜忧参半；
天气形势：
18日北方弱冷空气沿太行山南下扩散，控制中国中东部平原地区，早八时冷锋抵达长三角以南附近，有利于驱散前日累积的区域雾霾。而西南低压槽仍控制云贵地区，中东部地表受偏东气流影响容易发生区域污染转移。
图1 2015年02月18日地面天气图（08:00 UTC+8）和污染气象预报图 (图片来源：中央气象台)
预报回顾：
当日矮马全国AQI预报显示中东部区域污染向西转移，被压缩在太行山至秦岭以东沿线，污染中心出现在河南湖北交界附近。而前日受雾霾困扰的江淮及长三角地区空气质量普遍好转，有望迎来一个相对清洁的除夕之夜。
图2 2015年02月18日AQI空气质量预报与实况比较（左：矮马预报；右：CNEMC数据平台）
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